767 segments
Last month, the head of NORAD and Northcom, the military commands that defend North America,
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told Congress some of those mysterious drones seen flying inside the United States may indeed
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He did not save for whom.
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60 minutes has been looking into a series of eerily similar incidents going back years,
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including those attention-getting flyovers in New Jersey recently.
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In each, drones first appeared over restricted military or civilian sites, coming and going
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often literally under the radar.
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The wake-up call came just over a year ago when drones invaded the skies above Langley Air
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Force Base in Virginia, over 17 nights, forcing the relocation of our most advanced fighter
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Our story starts with an eyewitness and an iPhone.
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Close around seven o'clock, I would say.
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I started seeing these reddish orange flashing lights that were starting to come in from the
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Virginia Beach area.
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It begins slowly, like one at a time.
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Jonathan Buttoner's close encounter with drones came on December 14, 2023.
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He was at his family's cabin on the James River in Virginia, about 100 miles south of Washington
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D.C. with a commanding view of several military installations across the water.
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They started really coming in, like almost like on a conveyor belt.
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I probably saw upwards of 40 plus.
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And I first saw that.
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I was like, this is going directly over Langley Air Force Base.
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Langley is one of the most critical air bases on the East Coast.
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Home to dozens of F-22 Raptors, the most advanced stealth fighter jets ever built.
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Buttoner says from his perch, he has seen it all.
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I'm very familiar with all the different types of military craft.
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We have black hawks.
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We have the F-22s, and these were like nothing I've ever seen.
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Buttoner took these iPhone videos of the objects coming and going for nearly an hour and a half.
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These are the only public videos of the drones over Langley.
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He shared this video with the FBI for its investigation.
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The reports were coming in 20 to 30 sightings.
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Same time, every evening, 30 to 45 minutes after sunset.
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Retired four star general, Mark Kelly, was the highest ranking officer at Langley to
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A veteran fighter pilot, Kelly, went up to the roof of the squadron headquarters for an
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unobstructed view of the airborne invaders.
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Well, what you saw was different sizes of incursions of aircraft.
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You saw different altitudes, different air speeds.
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Some were rather loud, some weren't near as loud.
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What was the smallest one?
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What was the largest one?
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The smallest, you know, you're talking about a commercial size quadcopter.
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And then the largest ones are probably size what I would call a bass boat or a small car.
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The size of a small car.
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At the time, General Glen Van Herk was joint commander of NORAD and NORTHCOM, the military
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commens that protect North American airspace.
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He has since retired.
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I actually provided support in the form of fighters, airborne warning and control platforms,
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helicopters to try to further categorize what those drones were at the time.
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Ten months earlier, he ordered an F-22 from Langley to shoot down that Chinese spy balloon
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over the Atlantic after it had sailed across the U.S.
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At this time, he found himself ill-equipped to respond.
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NORAD's radar systems designed during the Cold War to detect high-altitude air space
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or missile attacks were unable to detect low flying drones that could be seen with the
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Why don't we just shoot them down?
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Well, first, you have to have the capability to detect, track, identify, make sure it's
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not a civilian airplane flying around.
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If you can do that, Bill, then it becomes a safety issue for the American public.
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Firing missiles in our homeland is not taken lightly.
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We're not able to track them.
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We're not able to see where they originate.
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No, it's the capability, Gap.
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Certainly, they can come and go from any direction.
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The FBI is looking at potential options, but they don't have an answer right now.
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And there haven't been answers for similar encroachments for more than five years.
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There are multiple UAS and vicinity of Paul Hamilton, CPA 100 feet in altitude off the
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In 2019, naval warships training off the California coast were shadowed for weeks by dozens
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We have visual four problems, and identify drones, with force unknown as we unknown.
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For years, the Pentagon did little to dispel speculation these images taken with night vision
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equipment were UFOs.
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But ship's logs show they were identified as drones at the time.
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And the Navy suspected they came from this Hong Kong flagged freighter sailing nearby,
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but couldn't prove it.
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Since then, the defense news site, the war zone, has documented dozens of drone intrusions
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at sensitive infrastructure and military installations.
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In 2019, the Palo Verde nuclear plant in Arizona, the largest power producer in the country.
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In 2024, an experimental weapon site in Southern California, where defense contractors are
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building the next generation of stealth bombers.
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Last December, the Army confirmed 11 drone sightings over the Picatinny arsenal in Northern
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New Jersey, where advanced weapons are designed and built.
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Which ignited a public frenzy, with sightings of unidentified flying objects all over the
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New Jersey remains the epicenter of the drone mystery.
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While much of the country was fixated on New Jersey, another swarm of drones was disrupting
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operations at an airbase in the UK, where US nuclear weapons have been stored.
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Clearly, there is a military intelligence aspect of this.
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Republican Senator Roger Wicker of Mississippi is chairman of the Armed Services Committee
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that oversees the Pentagon.
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We talked to him this past December.
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Do you believe that these drones are a spying system, a spying platform?
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What would a logical person conclude?
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That these are spying in person.
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And yet, I can tell you, I am privy to classified briefings at the highest level.
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I think the Pentagon and the national security advisers are still mystified.
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With drones overhead, some of the F-22s stationed at Langley were moved to a nearby airbase for
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their own protection.
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There is a new wartime reality.
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Drones that can spy can also destroy.
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Deep inside Russia, advanced aircraft have been destroyed by Ukrainian drones.
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General Van Herk told us drones could do the same thing here.
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I have seen video of drones in various sizes flying over the F-22 flight line at Langley.
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What's the reaction to that?
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They could drop ordnance on them, drop bombs on them.
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They could crash into them to disable them.
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Small UAS or drones can do a myriad of missions.
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President Biden was informed of the Langley intrusions and meetings were held at the White
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House to figure out how to bring the drones down.
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But after 17 nights, the drone visitation stopped.
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A senior official in the Biden White House later downplayed the incident to 60 minutes,
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saying it was likely the work of hobbyists.
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From what you saw, did you rule out that these might be hobbyists sending these drones
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They weren't hobbyists because of the magnitude of the events, the sizes of some of the drones
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Well, I wish I had the answer.
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It certainly could have a foreign nexus, a threat nexus.
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They could be doing anything from surveilling critical infrastructure, just to the point
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of embarrassing us from the fact that they can do this on a day-to-day basis, and they
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were not able to do anything about it.
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When overseas war zones, the U.S. military has broad authority to bring down menacing drones
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with gunfire, missiles, and electronic jamming.
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Here at home, any of those actions would pose a threat to civilians on the ground and
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Well, we certainly need new systems to counter this threat.
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A year ago, General Gregory Guillo, a combat veteran, took control of NORAD and Northcom.
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He ordered a 90-day assessment of operations and says the drones or UAVs at Langley became
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We're the most powerful military on the face of the earth, and yet drones could fly over
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a major air force base, and we couldn't stop them.
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How is that possible?
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Well, I think the threat got ahead of our ability to detect and track the threat.
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I think all eyes were rightfully overseas, where UAVs were being used in one way, attacked
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to attack U.S. and coalition service members, and the threat into U.S. probably caught us
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by surprise a little bit.
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As it stands today, could you detect a swarm of drones flying over or flying into the air
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Could you detect that today?
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At low altitude, probably not with your standard FAA or surveillance radars.
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During his efforts, bureaucracy, when the drones flew outside the perimeter of Langley Air
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Force Base, other agencies had jurisdiction.
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The Coast Guard, FAA, FBI, and local police, there was no one agency in charge.
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So what did you determine went on at Langley?
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Well, that investigation is still ongoing, so I don't think we know entirely what happened.
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When we hear things from the White House that it's not deemed a threat, it seems to me
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that this is alarming.
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This is kind of hair on fire time.
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And I would say that our hair is on fire here in North Common a controlled way, and we're
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moving out extremely quickly.
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This past November, General Geo was given the authority to cut through the red tape and
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coordinate counter drone efforts across multiple government agencies.
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He says new, more sensitive radar systems are being installed at strategic bases, and
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Northcom is developing what it calls flyaway kits with the latest anti-drone technology
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to be delivered to bases besieged by drones.
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My goal is inside of a year that we would have the flyaway capability to augment the services
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and the installations if they're necessary.
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So within a year we're Langley to happen again.
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There'd be some ability to respond.
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His predecessor, Glenn Van Herk, says the Pentagon, White House and Congress have underestimated
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this massive vulnerability for far too long.
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It's been one year since Langley had their drone incursion, and we don't have the policies
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and laws in place to deal with this.
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That's not a sense of urgency.
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Why do you think that is?
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I think it's because there's a perception that this is Fortress America, two oceans on
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the east and west with friendly nations north and south, and nobody's going to attack
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It's time we move beyond that assumption.
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Earlier this summer, the Director of National Intelligence and Secretary of Defense released
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a highly anticipated, unclassified report about something the Pentagon calls unidentified
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aerial phenomena, or UAP, more commonly known as UFOs.
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The government's grudging acknowledgement of 144 mysterious sightings documented by
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our military comes after decades of public denial.
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But as we first reported in May, whatever is trespassing in our skies and seas poses
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a serious safety risk to our servicemen and women, as well as our national security.
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So what you're telling me is that UFOs unidentified flying objects are real.
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Bill, I think we're beyond that already.
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The government has already stated for the record that they're real.
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I'm not telling you that.
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The United States government is telling you that.
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Luis Elizondo spent 20 years running military intelligence operations worldwide in Afghanistan,
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the Middle East, and Guantanamo.
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He hadn't given UFOs a second thought until 2008.
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That's when he was asked to join something at the Pentagon called the Advanced Aerospace
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Threat Identification Program, or A-TIP.
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The mission of A-TIP was quite simple.
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It was to collect and analyze information involving anomalous aerial vehicles.
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What I guess into vernacular, you call them UFOs.
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You know how this sounds.
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It sounds nutty, wacky.
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Look, Bill, I'm not telling you that it doesn't sound wacky, what I'm telling you is
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The question is, what is it?
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What are its intentions?
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What are its capabilities?
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Lead away in the Pentagon, A-TIP was part of a $22 million program sponsored by then-synet
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majority leader Harry Reid to investigate UFOs.
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When Elizondo took over in 2010, he focused on the national security implications of unidentified
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aerial phenomena documented by US service members.
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Imagine a technology that can do six to seven hundred G-forces that can fly at 13,000
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hours, that it can evade radar, and that can fly through air and water and possibly space.
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And oh, by the way, has no obvious signs of propulsion, no wings, no control surfaces,
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and yet still can defy the natural effects of Earth's gravity.
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That's precisely what we're seeing.
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Elizondo tells us A-TIP was a loose-knit mix of scientists, electro-optical engineers,
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avionics, and intelligence experts, often working part-time.
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They comb through data and records and analyzed videos like this.
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A Navy Aircrew struggled to lock on to a fast-moving object off the US-Atlantic coast in 2015.
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Recently released images may not convince UFO skeptics, but the Pentagon admits it doesn't
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know what in the world this is.
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So what do you say to the skeptics?
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It's refracted light, weather balloons, a rocket being launched, Venus.
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In some cases there are our simple explanations for what people are witnessing, but there
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are some that are not.
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We're not just simply jumping to a conclusion that's saying, oh, that's a UAP out there.
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We're going through our due diligence.
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Is it some sort of new type of cruise missile technology that China has developed?
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Is it some sort of high-altitude balloon that's conducting reconnaissance?
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Ultimately, when you have exhausted all those what-ifs, and you're still left with the
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fact that this is in our airspace and it's real, that's when it becomes compelling and
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that's when it becomes problematic.
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Former Navy pilot, Lieutenant Ryan Graves, calls whatever is out there a security risk.
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He told us his F-18 squadron began seeing UAP's hovering over restricted airspace southeast
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of Virginia Beach in 2014 when they updated their jet's radar, making it possible to zero
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in with infrared targeting cameras.
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So you're seeing it both with the radar and with the infrared and that tells you that
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there is something out there.
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Pretty hard to spoof that.
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These photographs were taken in 2019 in the same area.
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The Pentagon confirms these are images of objects it can't identify.
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Lieutenant Graves told us pilots training off the Atlantic coast see things like that all
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Every day for at least a couple of years.
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Wait a minute, every day for a couple of years?
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I don't see an ex-off room.
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Following this one, off the coast of Jacksonville, Florida in 2015 captured on a targeting camera
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by members of Graves Squadron.
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We're all going against the wind.
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The wind's 100 point out.
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You can sort of hear the surprise in their voices.
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You certainly kind of, they seem to have broke character a bit.
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And we're just kind of amazed at what they were seeing.
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What do you think when you see something like this?
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This is a difficult one to explain.
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You have rotation, you have high altitudes, you have propulsion, right?
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I don't know what it is, frankly.
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He told us pilots speculate they are one of three things.
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Secret U.S. technology, an adversary spy vehicle, or something otherworldly.
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I would say, you know, the highest probability is it's a threat observation program.
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Are you going to be Russian or Chinese technology?
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I don't see why not.
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I am worried, frankly.
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You know, if these were attacked with jets from other countries that were hanging out
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up there, it would be a massive issue.
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But because it looks slightly different, we're not willing to actually look at the problem
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We're happy to just ignore the fact that these are out there watching us every day.
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The government has ignored it, at least publicly, since closing its project Blue Book
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investigation in 1969.
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But that began to change after an incident off Southern California in 2004, which was
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documented by radar, by camera, and four naval aviators.
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We spoke to two of them.
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David Fraver, a graduate of the Top Gun Naval Flight School, and commander of the F-18 Squadron
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on the USS Nimitz, and flying it as wing, Lieutenant Alex Dietrich, who has never spoken
[0:20:09 - 0:20:15] ▶
publicly about the encounter.
[0:20:15 - 0:20:17] ▶
I never wanted to be a national TV.
[0:20:18 - 0:20:20] ▶
So why are you doing this?
[0:20:21 - 0:20:23] ▶
Because I was in a government aircraft, because I was on the clock.
[0:20:23 - 0:20:27] ▶
And so I feel a responsibility to share what I can, and it is unclassified.
[0:20:27 - 0:20:35] ▶
It was November 2004, and the USS Nimitz Carrier Strike Group was training about 100 miles
[0:20:35 - 0:20:41] ▶
southwest of San Diego.
[0:20:41 - 0:20:44] ▶
For a week, the advanced new radar on a nearby ship, the USS Princeton, had detected what
[0:20:44 - 0:20:49] ▶
operators called multiple anomalous aerial vehicles over the horizon, descending 80,000 feet
[0:20:49 - 0:20:56] ▶
in less than a second.
[0:20:56 - 0:21:00] ▶
On November 14, Fraver and Dietrich, each with a weapons system officer in the backseat,
[0:21:00 - 0:21:05] ▶
were diverted to investigate.
[0:21:05 - 0:21:08] ▶
They found an area of roiling whitewater, the size of a 737, in an otherwise calm blue
[0:21:08 - 0:21:15] ▶
So as we're looking at this, her backseater says, hey, Skipper, do you?
[0:21:16 - 0:21:23] ▶
And about that got out, I said, dude, do you see that thing down there?
[0:21:23 - 0:21:27] ▶
And we saw this little white tic-tac looking object, and it's just kind of moving above
[0:21:27 - 0:21:31] ▶
the whitewater area.
[0:21:31 - 0:21:33] ▶
As Dietrich circled above, Fraver went in for a closer look.
[0:21:33 - 0:21:37] ▶
Sort of spiraling down.
[0:21:37 - 0:21:39] ▶
The tic-tac still point north south, it goes, and just turns abruptly and starts mirrored
[0:21:39 - 0:21:45] ▶
So as I'm coming down, it starts coming up.
[0:21:46 - 0:21:47] ▶
So it's mimicking your moves.
[0:21:47 - 0:21:49] ▶
Yeah, it was where we were there.
[0:21:49 - 0:21:51] ▶
He said it was about the size of his F-18, with no markings, no wings, no exhaust plumes.
[0:21:51 - 0:21:57] ▶
That's too honest how close I can get.
[0:21:57 - 0:21:59] ▶
So I go like this, and it's climbing still.
[0:21:59 - 0:22:02] ▶
And when it gets right in front of me, it just disappears.
[0:22:02 - 0:22:05] ▶
What are you thinking?
[0:22:10 - 0:22:11] ▶
So your mind tries to make sense of it.
[0:22:11 - 0:22:13] ▶
I'm going to categorize this as maybe helicopter or maybe a drone.
[0:22:13 - 0:22:18] ▶
And when it disappeared, I mean, it was just...
[0:22:18 - 0:22:21] ▶
Did your backseaters see this, too?
[0:22:21 - 0:22:24] ▶
There was four of us in the airplanes literally watching this thing for roughly about five minutes.
[0:22:26 - 0:22:29] ▶
Seconds later, the Princeton re-acquired the target.
[0:22:29 - 0:22:33] ▶
Another crew managed to briefly lock onto it with a targeting camera before it zipped off again.
[0:22:35 - 0:22:41] ▶
You know, I think that overbears we've sort of said,
[0:22:41 - 0:22:43] ▶
Hey, man, if I saw this solo, I don't know that I would have come back and said anything
[0:22:43 - 0:22:49] ▶
because it sounds so crazy when I say it.
[0:22:49 - 0:22:51] ▶
You understand that reaction?
[0:22:51 - 0:22:53] ▶
If you've had some people tell me, you know, and you say that, you can sound crazy.
[0:22:54 - 0:22:57] ▶
I'll be honest, I'm not a UFO guy.
[0:22:57 - 0:23:00] ▶
But from what I hear you guys saying, there's something.
[0:23:00 - 0:23:05] ▶
There's definitely something that...
[0:23:06 - 0:23:08] ▶
I don't know who's building it.
[0:23:08 - 0:23:10] ▶
Who's got the technology?
[0:23:10 - 0:23:11] ▶
Who's got the brains?
[0:23:11 - 0:23:12] ▶
But there's something out there that was better than our airplane.
[0:23:12 - 0:23:17] ▶
The aircraft filed reports, then, like the mysterious flying object,
[0:23:17 - 0:23:22] ▶
the Nimitz encounter disappeared.
[0:23:22 - 0:23:25] ▶
Nothing was said or done officially for five years
[0:23:25 - 0:23:29] ▶
until Lou Elizondo came across the story and investigated.
[0:23:29 - 0:23:33] ▶
We spend millions of dollars in training these pilots
[0:23:33 - 0:23:37] ▶
and they are seeing something that they can explain.
[0:23:37 - 0:23:39] ▶
Furthermore, that information's being backed up on electrical data,
[0:23:39 - 0:23:43] ▶
like gun camera footage, and if I rate our data, now to me, that's compelling.
[0:23:43 - 0:23:48] ▶
Inside the Pentagon, his findings were met with skepticism.
[0:23:48 - 0:23:52] ▶
ATIPS funding was eliminated in 2012,
[0:23:52 - 0:23:55] ▶
but Elizondo says he and a handful of others kept the mission alive.
[0:23:55 - 0:24:00] ▶
Until finally, frustrated, he quit the Pentagon in 2017.
[0:24:00 - 0:24:05] ▶
But not before getting these three videos declassified.
[0:24:05 - 0:24:09] ▶
And then things took a stranger turn.
[0:24:09 - 0:24:12] ▶
I tried to help my colleague, Lou Elizondo,
[0:24:12 - 0:24:14] ▶
elevate the issue in the department and actually get it to the Secretary of Defense.
[0:24:14 - 0:24:18] ▶
Christopher Mellon served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Intelligence
[0:24:18 - 0:24:22] ▶
Clinton and George W. Bush and had access to top secret government programs.
[0:24:22 - 0:24:28] ▶
So it's not us. That's one thing we know.
[0:24:28 - 0:24:31] ▶
We know that. I could say that with a very high degree of confidence,
[0:24:31 - 0:24:34] ▶
in part because of the positions I held in that department.
[0:24:34 - 0:24:37] ▶
And I know the process.
[0:24:37 - 0:24:39] ▶
Mellon says he grew concerned nothing was being done about UAPs.
[0:24:39 - 0:24:43] ▶
So he decided to do something.
[0:24:43 - 0:24:46] ▶
In 2017, as a private citizen,
[0:24:46 - 0:24:49] ▶
he surreptitiously acquired the three Navy videos
[0:24:49 - 0:24:52] ▶
Elizondo had declassified and leaked them to the New York Times.
[0:24:52 - 0:24:57] ▶
It's bizarre and unfortunate that someone like myself has to do something like that
[0:24:57 - 0:25:03] ▶
to get a national security issue like this on the agenda.
[0:25:03 - 0:25:06] ▶
He joined forces with now civilian Lou Elizondo,
[0:25:06 - 0:25:10] ▶
and they started to tell their story to anybody who would listen to newspapers,
[0:25:10 - 0:25:15] ▶
the history channel to members of Congress.
[0:25:15 - 0:25:18] ▶
We knew and understood that you had to go to the public,
[0:25:18 - 0:25:20] ▶
get the public interested to get Congress interested,
[0:25:20 - 0:25:23] ▶
to then circle back to the Defense Department
[0:25:23 - 0:25:25] ▶
and get them to start taking a look at it.
[0:25:25 - 0:25:28] ▶
Last year, the Pentagon resurrected A-TIP.
[0:25:30 - 0:25:33] ▶
It's now called the UAP Task Force.
[0:25:33 - 0:25:36] ▶
Service members now are encouraged to report strange encounters
[0:25:36 - 0:25:40] ▶
and the Senate wants answers.
[0:25:40 - 0:25:43] ▶
Anything that enters an airspace that's not supposed to be there as a threat.
[0:25:43 - 0:25:47] ▶
After receiving classified briefings on UAPs,
[0:25:47 - 0:25:50] ▶
Senator Marco Rubio called for a detailed analysis.
[0:25:50 - 0:25:54] ▶
This passed December while he was still head of the Intelligence Committee,
[0:25:54 - 0:25:58] ▶
he asked the Director of National Intelligence and the Pentagon
[0:25:58 - 0:26:02] ▶
to present Congress an unclassified report by next month.
[0:26:02 - 0:26:06] ▶
This is a bizarre issue.
[0:26:06 - 0:26:08] ▶
The Pentagon and other branches of the military have a long history of sort of dismissing this.
[0:26:08 - 0:26:15] ▶
What makes you think that this time is going to be different?
[0:26:15 - 0:26:17] ▶
We're going to find out when we get that report.
[0:26:17 - 0:26:19] ▶
There's a stigma in Capitol Hill.
[0:26:19 - 0:26:21] ▶
I mean, some of my colleagues are very interested in this topic
[0:26:21 - 0:26:23] ▶
and some kind of, you know, giggle when you bring it up.
[0:26:23 - 0:26:27] ▶
But I don't think we can allow the stigma to keep us from having an answer
[0:26:27 - 0:26:31] ▶
to very fundamental question.
[0:26:31 - 0:26:32] ▶
What do you want us to do about this?
[0:26:32 - 0:26:34] ▶
I want us to take it seriously and have a process to take it seriously.
[0:26:34 - 0:26:37] ▶
I want us to have a process to analyze the data.
[0:26:37 - 0:26:40] ▶
Every time it comes in, that there'd be a place where this is cataloged
[0:26:40 - 0:26:43] ▶
and constantly analyzed.
[0:26:43 - 0:26:44] ▶
Until we get some answers.
[0:26:44 - 0:26:46] ▶
Maybe it has a very simple answer.
[0:26:46 - 0:26:50] ▶
A few weeks after our story aired,
[0:26:53 - 0:26:55] ▶
the Director of National Intelligence released an unclassified report
[0:26:55 - 0:26:59] ▶
saying, UAP probably lack a single explanation.
[0:26:59 - 0:27:03] ▶
But that some, quote, appear to demonstrate advanced technology
[0:27:03 - 0:27:07] ▶
meriting further analysis.
[0:27:07 - 0:27:10] ▶
The United States Navy helps secure victory in two world wars and the Cold War.
[0:27:11 - 0:27:24] ▶
Today, the Navy remains a formidable fighting force
[0:27:24 - 0:27:27] ▶
but even officers within the service have questioned its readiness.
[0:27:27 - 0:27:32] ▶
While the U.S. spent 20 years fighting land wars in Iraq and Afghanistan,
[0:27:32 - 0:27:36] ▶
the Pentagon watched China its greatest geopolitical rival
[0:27:36 - 0:27:41] ▶
of the 21st century build the largest Navy in the world.
[0:27:41 - 0:27:45] ▶
China has threatened to use that Navy to invade Taiwan
[0:27:45 - 0:27:49] ▶
and important American ally.
[0:27:49 - 0:27:51] ▶
As tensions with China continue to rise,
[0:27:51 - 0:27:53] ▶
we wanted to know more about the current state of the U.S. Navy,
[0:27:53 - 0:27:57] ▶
how it's trying to deter China
[0:27:57 - 0:27:59] ▶
and as we first reported in March,
[0:27:59 - 0:28:01] ▶
preparing for the possibility of war.
[0:28:01 - 0:28:05] ▶
The Navy's always on alert.
[0:28:05 - 0:28:10] ▶
One-third of the Navy is always deployed and operating at all times.
[0:28:10 - 0:28:15] ▶
The Navy's mustering right now about 300 ships
[0:28:15 - 0:28:18] ▶
and they're about 100 ships at sea right now all around the globe.
[0:28:18 - 0:28:23] ▶
Admiral Samuel Poparo commands the U.S. Pacific Fleet,
[0:28:23 - 0:28:27] ▶
whose 200 ships and 150,000 sailors and civilians
[0:28:27 - 0:28:31] ▶
make up 60% of the entire U.S. Navy.
[0:28:31 - 0:28:35] ▶
We met him in February on the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz,
[0:28:35 - 0:28:39] ▶
deployed near the U.S. territory of Guam,
[0:28:39 - 0:28:42] ▶
southeast of Taiwan, and the People's Republic of China, or PRC.
[0:28:42 - 0:28:47] ▶
You've been operating as a naval officer for 40 years.
[0:28:47 - 0:28:51] ▶
How has operating in the Western Pacific changed?
[0:28:51 - 0:28:54] ▶
In the early 2000s, the PRC Navy mustered about 37 vessels.
[0:28:54 - 0:28:59] ▶
Today, they're mustering 350 vessels.
[0:28:59 - 0:29:03] ▶
In March, China's new foreign minister,
[0:29:03 - 0:29:06] ▶
Qin Gong, delivered a stern warning to the U.S.
[0:29:06 - 0:29:10] ▶
He said that if Washington does not change course
[0:29:10 - 0:29:12] ▶
and its stance towards China, conflict and confrontation is inevitable.
[0:29:12 - 0:29:18] ▶
This past August, when then-speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi
[0:29:18 - 0:29:22] ▶
became the most senior U.S. political figure
[0:29:22 - 0:29:25] ▶
to visit Taiwan in 25 years, China called it a blatant provocation.
[0:29:25 - 0:29:31] ▶
The People's Liberation Army fired ballistic missiles
[0:29:31 - 0:29:34] ▶
into the sea around Taiwan and encircled the island
[0:29:34 - 0:29:38] ▶
with aircraft and warships.
[0:29:38 - 0:29:40] ▶
So are Chinese warships now operating closer to Taiwan
[0:29:40 - 0:29:44] ▶
after Nancy Pelosi's visit?
[0:29:44 - 0:29:46] ▶
The best guess anyone has about China's ultimate intentions
[0:29:48 - 0:29:52] ▶
for Taiwan comes from the CIA.
[0:29:52 - 0:29:54] ▶
According to its intelligence assessment,
[0:29:54 - 0:29:57] ▶
China's president Xi Jinping has ordered
[0:29:57 - 0:30:00] ▶
the People's Liberation Army to be prepared
[0:30:00 - 0:30:02] ▶
to take back the island by force by 2027.
[0:30:02 - 0:30:06] ▶
And if China invades Taiwan, what will the U.S. Navy do?
[0:30:06 - 0:30:11] ▶
It's a decision of the President of the United States
[0:30:11 - 0:30:13] ▶
and a decision of the Congress.
[0:30:13 - 0:30:15] ▶
It's our duty to be ready for that.
[0:30:15 - 0:30:18] ▶
But the bulk of the United States Navy will be deployed rapidly
[0:30:18 - 0:30:24] ▶
to the Western Pacific to come to the aid of Taiwan
[0:30:24 - 0:30:28] ▶
if the order comes to aid Taiwan in thwarting that invasion.
[0:30:28 - 0:30:32] ▶
Is the U.S. Navy ready?
[0:30:32 - 0:30:34] ▶
I'll never admit to being ready enough.
[0:30:37 - 0:30:40] ▶
President Biden has declared four times,
[0:30:41 - 0:30:43] ▶
including on 60 minutes, that the U.S. military would defend Taiwan,
[0:30:43 - 0:30:48] ▶
which is a democracy and the world's leading producer
[0:30:48 - 0:30:51] ▶
of advanced microchips.
[0:30:51 - 0:30:53] ▶
To reach the U.S. s limits, we first traveled to America's
[0:30:54 - 0:30:58] ▶
westernmost territory, the island of Guam,
[0:30:58 - 0:31:01] ▶
in the middle of the Pacific.
[0:31:01 - 0:31:04] ▶
Guam was taken by Imperial Japan two days after the attack
[0:31:04 - 0:31:08] ▶
on Pearl Harbor in 1941.
[0:31:08 - 0:31:11] ▶
U.S. Marines recaptured it two and a half years later.
[0:31:11 - 0:31:14] ▶
And the island, about the size of Chicago,
[0:31:14 - 0:31:17] ▶
became an indispensable strategic foothold
[0:31:17 - 0:31:19] ▶
in the Western Pacific as it remains today.
[0:31:19 - 0:31:23] ▶
From Guam, we boarded a Navy C2 Greyhound,
[0:31:23 - 0:31:26] ▶
a cold war, air, a transport plane takes people and supplies
[0:31:26 - 0:31:30] ▶
back and forth from land to the carrier.
[0:31:30 - 0:31:32] ▶
It was a short flight to the ship and an even shorter landing.
[0:31:35 - 0:31:40] ▶
Before Admiral Paparo rose to lead the Pacific fleet,
[0:31:48 - 0:31:51] ▶
he flew jets and graduated from the school known as Top Gun.
[0:31:51 - 0:31:56] ▶
When you talk about ships, what's the most powerful
[0:31:56 - 0:31:59] ▶
It's an aircraft carrier and its air wing is capable
[0:32:00 - 0:32:03] ▶
of 150 strike or air to air swordies per day
[0:32:03 - 0:32:08] ▶
with at its surge levels the ability to deliver 900 precision
[0:32:08 - 0:32:13] ▶
guided munitions every day and reloadable every night.
[0:32:13 - 0:32:18] ▶
So even though China now has the largest Navy in the world,
[0:32:18 - 0:32:22] ▶
they don't have anything like this in terms of aircraft carriers.
[0:32:22 - 0:32:24] ▶
They do not, but they're working towards it.
[0:32:24 - 0:32:27] ▶
And they have two operational aircraft carriers right now.
[0:32:27 - 0:32:30] ▶
That's China's two diesel-fueled carriers
[0:32:30 - 0:32:34] ▶
to the U.S.'s 11 nuclear powered ones
[0:32:34 - 0:32:37] ▶
that can carry a total of about 1,000 attack aircraft
[0:32:37 - 0:32:41] ▶
more than the navies of every other nation on Earth combined.
[0:32:41 - 0:32:45] ▶
We are here to stay in the South China Sea and in this part of the world.
[0:32:46 - 0:32:50] ▶
And I think that's the message that we really want to convey
[0:32:50 - 0:32:53] ▶
to not only China, but the entire world.
[0:32:53 - 0:32:55] ▶
We will sail wherever international law allows.
[0:32:55 - 0:32:58] ▶
Lieutenant Commander David Ash flies an FAA-18.
[0:32:58 - 0:33:02] ▶
Do you get briefed on China's growing military threat
[0:33:02 - 0:33:10] ▶
and the progress that their Navy is making?
[0:33:10 - 0:33:13] ▶
Yeah, absolutely we do.
[0:33:14 - 0:33:16] ▶
And they are making great progress in a lot of key areas.
[0:33:16 - 0:33:19] ▶
The Chinese are from a military standpoint.
[0:33:19 - 0:33:22] ▶
This video from weapons systems officer Lieutenant Commander Matthew Carlton
[0:33:22 - 0:33:27] ▶
shows his FAA-18 strafing ground targets
[0:33:27 - 0:33:30] ▶
with a machine gun on a U.S. weapons range near Guam.
[0:33:30 - 0:33:34] ▶
The pilots on the limits also conduct air-to-air combat
[0:33:37 - 0:33:41] ▶
or dogfighting drills daily.
[0:33:41 - 0:33:43] ▶
How aggressive has China become in the air?
[0:33:44 - 0:33:48] ▶
And just some examples include unsafe, unprofessional intercepts
[0:33:49 - 0:33:54] ▶
where they move within single digits of feet of other aircraft,
[0:33:54 - 0:33:58] ▶
flashing the weapons that they have on board to the aircraft of the other aircraft,
[0:33:58 - 0:34:01] ▶
operating in international airspace,
[0:34:01 - 0:34:03] ▶
maneuvering their aircraft in such a way that denies the ability to turn in one direction
[0:34:03 - 0:34:11] ▶
if they're safe and professional, then there's no problem.
[0:34:11 - 0:34:15] ▶
Everybody has the right to fly and sail
[0:34:15 - 0:34:19] ▶
wherever international law dictates.
[0:34:19 - 0:34:21] ▶
But the Chinese are pushing that.
[0:34:21 - 0:34:23] ▶
They are pushing it.
[0:34:23 - 0:34:24] ▶
China's increasingly aggressive moves in the Western Pacific
[0:34:24 - 0:34:28] ▶
encroaching on territory, illegal fishing,
[0:34:28 - 0:34:31] ▶
and building bases in the middle of the South China Sea
[0:34:31 - 0:34:35] ▶
have push nations like Japan and the Philippines
[0:34:35 - 0:34:38] ▶
to forge closer military ties to the U.S.
[0:34:38 - 0:34:42] ▶
And earlier this year, Britain, the U.S. and Australia
[0:34:42 - 0:34:46] ▶
signed a landmark deal to jointly develop nuclear-powered attack submarines
[0:34:46 - 0:34:51] ▶
to patrol the Pacific.
[0:34:51 - 0:34:53] ▶
This is how China and Taiwan appear on most maps.
[0:34:53 - 0:34:57] ▶
This is how the Chinese Communist Party sees the Western Pacific,
[0:34:57 - 0:35:02] ▶
including the South and East China seas from Beijing.
[0:35:02 - 0:35:06] ▶
Taiwan is the fulcrum in what China's leaders call the first island chain,
[0:35:06 - 0:35:11] ▶
a constellation of U.S. allies that stretches across its entire coast.
[0:35:11 - 0:35:17] ▶
Control of Taiwan is the strategic key to unlocking direct access to the Pacific
[0:35:17 - 0:35:23] ▶
and the sea lanes where about 50 percent of the world's commerce gets transported.
[0:35:23 - 0:35:28] ▶
China has accused the United States of trying to contain them.
[0:35:28 - 0:35:34] ▶
What do you say to China?
[0:35:34 - 0:35:36] ▶
I would say, do you need to be contained?
[0:35:36 - 0:35:39] ▶
Are you expanding? Are you an expansionist power?
[0:35:39 - 0:35:43] ▶
To a very great extent, the United States was the champion for China's rise.
[0:35:43 - 0:35:49] ▶
And in no way are we seeking to contain China.
[0:35:49 - 0:35:54] ▶
What we are seeking for them to play by the rules.
[0:35:54 - 0:35:59] ▶
China's navy, a branch of the People's Liberation Army,
[0:35:59 - 0:36:02] ▶
is now the world's largest.
[0:36:02 - 0:36:04] ▶
China is also using its 9,000-mile coastline to rewrite the rules of fighting at sea,
[0:36:04 - 0:36:11] ▶
as these images from Chinese state media show.
[0:36:11 - 0:36:15] ▶
Its military has invested heavily in long-range precision guided weapons,
[0:36:15 - 0:36:20] ▶
like the DF-21 and DF-26 that can be used to target ships.
[0:36:20 - 0:36:28] ▶
China's People's Liberation Army rocket force calls them carrier killers
[0:36:28 - 0:36:33] ▶
and has practiced shooting them at mock-ups of American ships in the desert
[0:36:33 - 0:36:37] ▶
that look a lot like the Nimitz.
[0:36:37 - 0:36:39] ▶
Since the United States has been operating in the Western Pacific,
[0:36:39 - 0:36:44] ▶
China's backyard, they've been developing missiles to attack our assets.
[0:36:44 - 0:36:49] ▶
Haven't they specific missiles?
[0:36:49 - 0:36:50] ▶
First, I'll say, the United States is also a Western Pacific nation.
[0:36:51 - 0:36:57] ▶
So it's not China's backyard.
[0:36:57 - 0:37:00] ▶
It is a free and open Indo-Pacific that encompasses numerous partners and treaty allies.
[0:37:00 - 0:37:09] ▶
And yes, we have seen them greatly enhance their power projection capability.
[0:37:09 - 0:37:14] ▶
How much do you worry about the PLA rocket force?
[0:37:14 - 0:37:16] ▶
I'd be a fool to not worry about.
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Of course, I worry about the PLA rocket force.
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Of course, I work every single day to develop the tactics and the techniques and the procedures
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to counter it and to continue to develop the systems that can also defend against them.
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About how far are we from mainland China?
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1500 nautical miles.
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If they've got the targeting in place, they could hit this aircraft carrier.
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If I don't want to be hit, there's something I can do about it.
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US Navy planners aren't just plotting how to evade China's rocket force,
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but also how they could effectively fight back.
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From the vicinity of Guam, none of the aircraft on this ship has the range to approach Taiwan
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without refueling in the air.
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Ships, like the US destroyer Wayne Emeyer, part of the Nimitz strike group,
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would need to sail much closer towards China to fire their missiles at any force invading Taiwan.
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One naval scholar we spoke to likened it to a boxing match in which a fighter, in this case, China,
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has much longer arms than their potential opponent, the US.
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I'll give you a lot of examples where a shorter fighter was able to prevail over a long arm fighter
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by being on their toes, by maneuvering, and we can also stick and move while we're developing
[0:38:38 - 0:38:47] ▶
those longer range weapons.
[0:38:47 - 0:38:49] ▶
There is another area of modern naval warfare where the US had a head start
[0:38:49 - 0:38:54] ▶
and retains a deep advantage over China.
[0:38:54 - 0:38:57] ▶
I just noticed out of the corner of my eye,
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this is a 688 class, the Los Angeles class, attack submarine.
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This is the most capable submarine on the planet, you know,
[0:39:03 - 0:39:06] ▶
with the exception of the Virginia class, our newer class of submarines.
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The exact number is classified, but our best estimate is that there are about a dozen nuclear-powered fast-attacked submarines
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patrolling the Pacific at any time.
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They are difficult to detect and track, something China is trying to solve.
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How much more advanced is US submarine technology than Chinese capability?
[0:39:26 - 0:39:33] ▶
And by a generation, I think 10 or 20 years, but broadly, I don't really talk in depth about submarine capabilities.
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It's the silent service.
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Since Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, China's military leaders have themselves been mostly silent
[0:39:44 - 0:39:50] ▶
and ignored efforts by the US military to keep the lines of communication open.
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Even when a Chinese spy balloon reached American airspace and was shot down by the US.
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If the US and Chinese militaries can't communicate over a Chinese spy balloon,
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then what's going to happen when there's a real crisis in the South China Sea or with Taiwan?
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We'll hope that they'll answer the phone.
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Else, we'll do our very best assessment based on the things that they say in open source,
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based on their behavior to divine their intentions.
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And we'll act accordingly.
[0:40:29 - 0:40:30] ▶
Doesn't that make the situation even more dangerous if US and Chinese militaries are not talking?
[0:40:30 - 0:40:37] ▶
Several sources within the Pentagon tell 60 minutes that if China invaded Taiwan,
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it could very well kick off in outer space, with both sides targeting the other satellites
[0:40:45 - 0:40:50] ▶
that enable precision-guided weaponry.
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Cyberattacks on American cities and the sabotage of ports on the west coast of the US mainland could follow.
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One recent non-classified war game had the US prevailing but losing 20 ships including two carriers.
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Is that sound about right?
[0:41:09 - 0:41:10] ▶
That is a plausible outcome.
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I can imagine a more pessimistic outcome and I can imagine a more optimistic outcome.
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We should be clear-eyed about the costs that we're potentially incurring.
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There are about 5,000 Americans onboard the limits.
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The ship is nearly half a century old,
[0:41:29 - 0:41:32] ▶
given the Navy's current needs in the Pacific
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and because there's fuel left in its nuclear reactors,
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the carrier's life at sea is going to be extended.
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Is it your hope that the power of the US Navy, the force posture of the US Navy,
[0:41:42 - 0:41:49] ▶
will deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan?
[0:41:49 - 0:41:52] ▶
It's not my hope, it's my duty in conjunction with allies and partners
[0:41:52 - 0:41:57] ▶
to deliver intolerable costs to anybody that would upend the order in violation of the nation's security
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or in violation of the nation's interests.
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The saying, which is, see Pachan Parabellum,
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which is if you want peace, prepare for war.
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Since our story, first aired in March, China has intensified its aggressive military tactics
[0:42:14 - 0:42:20] ▶
in the Western Pacific.
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In June, a Chinese warship nearly collided with a US destroyer in the Taiwan Strait.
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When we return, critical questions about the state of the US Navy and its readiness.
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60 minutes spent months talking to Kern and former naval officers,
[0:42:37 - 0:42:47] ▶
military strategists and politicians about the state of the US Navy.
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One common thread in our reporting is unease, both about the size of the US fleet
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and its readiness to fight.
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The Navy's ships are being retired faster than they're getting replaced.
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While the Navy of the People's Republic of China or PRC grows larger and more lethal by the year.
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We first asked the commander of the US Pacific Fleet Admiral Samuel Poparo about this
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on our visit earlier this year to the USS Nimitz, the oldest aircraft carrier in the Navy.
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We call it the decade of concern.
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We've seen a tenfold increase in the size of the PRC Navy.
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Technically speaking, the Chinese now have the largest Navy in the world in terms of number of ships.
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Correct? Do the numbers matter?
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Yes. As the saying goes, quantity has a quality all its own.
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At some point, are they going to reach numbers that we can't prevail over?
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I'm not comfortable with the trajectory.
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If you look at a map at the Indo-Pacific, one thing becomes clear. There's a lot of water on that map.
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And so ours has to be a maritime strategy.
[0:43:59 - 0:44:04] ▶
Republican Mike Gallagher and Democrat Elaine Luria served together on the House Armed Services Committee in the last Congress.
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What is it about the US Navy that has allowed the two of you to find common cause?
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I think we share a sense of the urgency of the moment.
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We see increasing threats from China in particular in the Indo-Pacific.
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We feel like we're not moving fast enough to build a bigger Navy.
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Congressman Gallagher is a Marine veteran who represents Green Bay, Wisconsin.
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He chairs the new House Committee on China.
[0:44:32 - 0:44:35] ▶
He's concerned that under the Navy's current plan, the fleet will shrink to about 280 ships by 2027.
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The same year, the CIA says China has set for having the capability to take Taiwan by force.
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So we will be weakest when our enemy is potentially strongest.
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China's increased rhetoric and potential aggression against Taiwan.
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We're going to have to be ready to respond today with the forces we have today.
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Former Congresswoman Elaine Luria represented Virginia Beach until this past January.
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An enapolis graduate, Luria had a 20-year naval career before being elected to Congress.
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What would you say the state of the US Navy is today?
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I think the Navy has not received the attention and resources that it needs over two decades.
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I mean, I served on six different ships.
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Every single one of those ships was either built during or a product of the fleet that was built in the Cold War.
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Both Mike Gallagher and Elaine Luria have lobbied for government money for the shipyards in or near their districts.
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But they say this is less about jobs and more about national security.
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We don't get this right. All of these other things we're doing in Congress ultimately that might not matter.
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If you think about what a coherent grand strategy of these if China would be,
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the hard power would be the most important part of that.
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And the Navy would be the most important component of your hard power investments.
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Over the last two decades, the Navy spent $55 billion on two investments that did not pan out.
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The first was a class of destroyers known as the ZoomWalt.
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The futuristic fighting ships were supposed to revolutionize naval warfare.
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32 were ordered, but only three were ever launched.
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The cost of each ship by one estimate was upwards of $8 billion, making them the three most expensive destroyers ever put to sea.
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Another example is the lateral combat ship or LCS, designed to be a fast all-purpose worship for shallow waters.
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30 billion dollars later, the program ran aground after structural defects and engine trouble.
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Within the Navy, the LCS earned the unfortunate nickname Little Crapi Ship.
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The Navy's last few decades have been described as a lost generation of shipbuilding.
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Is that overly dramatic?
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I don't think so. We're still struggling to build ships on time, on budget,
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and that's something we absolutely need to fix going forward.
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This past March, we spoke with Admiral Mike Gulday at the Pentagon.
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He is the chief of naval operations and is responsible for building, maintaining, and equipping the entire U.S. Navy.
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Is the Navy in crisis?
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No, the Navy is not in crisis. The Navy is out on point every single day.
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Is it being outpaced by China?
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No. Our Navy is still in a position to prevail, but that's not blind confidence.
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We are concerned with the trajectory that China is on, with China's behavior.
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But we are in a good position right now, if we did ever get into a fight against them.
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How would you describe what China has been able to do militarily over the last 20 years?
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The most alarming thing is the growth of not only their conventional forces,
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but also their strategic nuclear forces, their cyber capability, their space capability,
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and how they are using that to force other nations, navies, out of certain areas in the South China Sea.
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Instead of recognizing international law, they want to control where those goods flow and how.
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What lessons did the U.S. Navy learn from some of the shipbuilding mistakes of the last 20 years?
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I think one of the things that we learned was that we need to have a design well in place before we begin bending metal.
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And so we were going back to the past to what we did in the 80s and the 90s. The Navy has the lead.
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There is a tendency among the great powers to look at each other's naval build-ups with deep suspicion.
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Toshiyoshihara of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments may know more than any scholar in the West about China's Navy.
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China will have about 440 ships by 2030, and that's according to the Pentagon.
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Why is China able to build more warships more quickly than the U.S.?
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China has clearly invested in this defense industrial infrastructure to produce these ships, which allows them to produce multiple ships simultaneously,
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essentially outbuilding many of the Western navies combined.
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China's Navy piggybacks on a booming commercial shipbuilding industry kept afloat by generous state subsidies, inexpensive materials, and cheap labor.
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In the United States, it's a different story. After the Cold War ended, the shipbuilding industry consolidated, and many of the yards where ships were both built and maintained closed down.
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What do you see when you see China's shipbuilding program?
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Do we have enough shipyards?
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No. I wish that we had more commercial shipyards. Over my career, we've gone from more than 30 shipyards down to about seven that we rely upon on a day-to-day basis to build ships.
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One of those yards is run by Huntington Ingalls Industries, which built the state-of-the-art new Ford class aircraft carrier.
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After control of explosions in 2021 to prove it could withstand combat, the Ford got closer to deployment, six years late, and billions of dollars over budget.
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The Navy's not just struggling to build new ships on time, according to the government accountability office or GAO, there's a multi-year backlog repairing the ships in the fleet.
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Our maintenance backlog is one of the primary things that I'm working on to correct. So, just three years ago, we had 7,700 delay days, that is extra days in a shipyard by ships when they were an operational.
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We have cut that down to 3,000. We are not satisfied.
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Maintenance delays mean sailors can't come home because the ship that's supposed to replace them is not ready. It means longer deployments. It means away from your family more. That's a big strain on the workforce.
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The more ships that we can have available to send at sea alleviates many of those problems that you pointed out.
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Sailors join the Navy to see the world. And so, it's my job to make sure that those maintenance delays go to zero and we can get those ships to see as quickly as possible.
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In the last year alone, at least 10 sailors assigned to ships undergoing maintenance or working at maintenance facilities have died by suicide.
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It is a problem that we're taking very, very seriously. And down to every leader in our Navy, everybody has a responsibility to look out for each other, take care of each other. There is no wrong door to knock on when you need help.
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Admiral Gilday says the U.S. Navy's main advantage over China is America's sailors. His goal is to modernize the U.S. fleet and have those sailors serving alongside hundreds of unmanned vessels by 2045.
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I think unmanned is the future. And so, I think that some 40% of our fleet in the future, I believe, is going to be unmanned.
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Are these like underwater drones? Some of them are highly capable, capable delivering mines and perhaps other types of weapons.
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Admiral Gilday is talking about the Orca, an extra large unmanned, undersea vehicle.
[0:52:17 - 0:52:23] ▶
Can you say what it will do or is that classified?
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Well, at a minimum, it will have a clandestine mine laying capability, so it will be done in a way that is very secretive, but very effective.
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But the GAO reports that it is already a quarter of a billion dollars over budget and three years behind schedule.
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That particular platform is behind schedule. It is the first of a kind when it delivers ICA very high return on investment from that particular platform.
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Because. Because it will be among the most lethal and stealthy platforms in the arsenal of the U.S. military.
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The Navy's total budget request for fiscal year 2024 is over a quarter of a trillion dollars, an $11 billion increase from last year.
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The focus is on China.
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The U.S. defense posture is viewed as aggressive by the Chinese. The foreign minister just said, look, stop the containment. This may lead to conflict.
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Perhaps the Chinese minister doesn't like the fact that the U.S. Navy is operating in collaboration with dozens of navies around the world to ensure that the maritime commons remains free and open for all nations.
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The Chinese want to dictate those terms. And so they don't like our presence, but our presence is not intended to be provocative.
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It's intended to assure and to reassure allies and partners around the world that those sea lanes do remain open. The global economy literally floats on seawater.
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